It is that time of year again, my very favorite day occurs tomorrow. Forget Xmas, summer vacation, birthdays…tomorrow, my friends, is the 79th Annual Academy Awards.
Some may say the Oscars are out-dated, or don’t appreciate movies that challenge what they are comfortable with. Though many of these claims have their value, I am still a sucker for the best awards’s show of the year. So here are my thoughts on the eight major categories (my picks are underlined):
Best Picture:
Babel

The Departed

Letters From Iwo Jima

Little Miss Sunshine

The Queen

My Thoughts:
In my humble opinion, ‘Babel’ was undoubtedly the film of the year. It was beautifully designed, excellent acting, and a message about globalization and the inter-connectedness of humanity. However ‘Little Miss Sunshine’ is gaining a lot of traction, winning many of the awards leading up to the big night. ‘The Departed’ could take it, it is Scorsese’s best in years, but it is the most economically successful of the big 5, which is not usually a favored fact in recent Oscar history. ‘Letters’ and ‘The Queen’ don’t stand a chance.
Best Actress:
Penelope Cruz, ‘Volver’

Judi Dench, ‘Notes on a Scandal’

Helen Mirren, ‘The Queen’

Meryl Streep, ‘The Devil Wears Prada’

Kate Winslet, ‘Little Children’

My Thoughts:
This is Mirren’s year and she absolutely deserves it. Streep’s part was too small; Cruz doesn’t have enough cred in America even if she is brilliant in ‘Volver; Dench’s film was seen by very few and she has won before; and poor Kate Winslet will simply have to go home empty-handed for the fifth year. Personally, I would love a Winslet upset, but I doubt it.
Best Actor:
Leonardo Dicaprio, ‘Blood Diamond’

Ryan Gosling, ‘Hald Nelson’

Peter O’Toole, ‘Venus’

Will Smith, ‘The Pursuit of Happyness’

Forest Whittaker, ‘The Last King of Scotland’

My Thoughts:
It’s a battle between O’Toole and Whittaker. One is the old pro, often nominated but never won, who already has a Lifetime Achievement Award from the Academy but came back to show them he’s still got it. The other has been around for years, in many great performances but comes to this Oscars with his first nomination. The bets seem to be on Whittaker, and I hope it comes true, but I think the Academy’s nostalgic voters will go for O’Toole. As for the others, Dicaprio might have won if he was nominated for ‘The Departed’, but not for ‘Diamond’. Smith gives a good performance, but in a somewhat-lame movie. Gosling would be a surprise win and there is nothing that would make me happier than this brilliant Canadian actor taking the gold, but alas I think he’ll have to wait for another year.
Best Supporting Actress
Adriana Barraza, ‘Babel’

Cate Blanchett, ‘Notes on a Scandal’

Abigail Breslin, ‘Little Miss Sunshine’

Jennifer Hudson, ‘Dreamgirls’

Rinko Rikuchi, ‘Babel’

My Thoughts:
Forget about ‘American Idol’ and look at Hudson as the incredible performer she is, yes performer, not just singer, but her acting rules the film. She is Effie and she is unforgettable. Blanchett won two years ago, Barraza and Kikuchi will split the ‘Babel’ vote and though Miss Breslin was great, the nom is enough. I would love to see a split vote between Hudson and the heart-breaking Kikuchi, but if I have to choose, it is Hudson’s year.
Best Supporting Actor:
Alan Arkin, ‘Little Miss Sunshine’
![POSSIBLE: ALAN ARKIN [ITALIC {Little Miss Sunshine}] With a limited amount of screen time, Arkin could score his first nomination in 38 years as [ITALIC {Sunshine}]'s foul-mouthed grandpa.](http://img2.timeinc.net/ew/dynamic/imgs/061201/163429__arkin_l.jpg)
Jackie Earle Haley, ‘Little Children’

Djimon Hounsou, ‘Blood Diamond’

Eddie Murphy, ‘Dreamgirls’

Mark Wahlberg, ‘The Departed’

My Thoughts:
Murphy absolutely killed me in ‘Dreamgirls’, his talent in my estimation has shot up considerably. However, he currently has the number one movie in the US wherein he returns to dressing up in fat suits. I would love to see him witn, because I totally think he deserves it, however the ill-timed release of ‘Norbit’ might kill his chances. So if that does happen (and it would be very unfortunate), as far as the other nominees: I love Arkin in ‘Sunshine’, but he should have been nominated for ‘The Slums of Beverly Hills’ in 1998, a much better and bigger role. Grandpa is good, but small. Wahlberg’s part is so small it should be in a new category ‘Best Supporting Supporting Actor’, only then would he stand a chance of winning. Haley could win for those who love a comeback story (he was a teen star in the 70’s, with 1976’s ‘The Bad News Bears’, but lost his fame as he grew up) and I hear he is great, however many people missed ‘Little Children’. And Hounsou just seemed to get nominated because he is Djimon Hounsou and people still feel bad about not nominating him for 1997’s ‘Amistad’. Therefore, if Murphy doesn’t win, I think it will go to Haley, or possibly Arkin.
Best Director:
Clint Eastwood, ‘Letters from Iwo Jima’

Stephen Frears, ‘The Queen’

Paul Greengrass, ‘United 93′

Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu, ‘Babel’

Martin Scorsese, ‘The Departed’

My Thoughts:
It’s finally Scorsese’s year. It just has to be. I am glad they didn’t give it to him when he didn’t yet deserve it (ahem, 2002’s ‘Gangs of New York’, 2004’s ‘The Aviator’), because ‘The Departed’ is a brilliant return to form. Eastwood won’t beat him again as he did in 2004, ‘Letters’ doesn’t come close. Frears did a good job, but ‘The Queen’ could almost be a TV movie. Greengrass or Innaritu would be brilliant upsets for making the two most politically important films of the year, but come on folks, it’s Marty time.
Best Original Screenplay:
Babel

Letters from Iwo Jima

Little Miss Sunshine

Pan’s Labyrinth

The Queen

My Thoughts:
This is a tough one, they usually give this award to the film they wish they had the balls to nominate for best picture, thus ‘Pan’s’ could take it. However, I think ‘The Queen’ has a good chance because it realistically imagined the world of the British monarchy that we all wish we could see. ‘Letters’ could challenge, but the film is over-long and sometimes dull. ‘Sunshine’ is sweet and smart, but I doubt a comedy will take it. I have to go with ‘Babel’ because it so brilliantly intertwines four storylines in four different circumstances.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan

Children of Men

The Departed

Little Children

Notes on a Scandal

My Thoughts:
Because so much of ‘Borat’ is improvised, I don’t think the Academy will recognize it as an achievement in writing. ‘Departed’ is great, but much foul language doesn’t bode well for it. ‘Little Children’ apparently veers quite far from the script. I have heard that some of ‘Notes’ is not that great. Thus I will have to go with ‘Children of Men’ because it is a brilliantly designed epic for the ages that I hear is better than the book.